Monday 19 November 2018

Year 2018 version:The consequence of long term investing.....................


I wrote this article 3 years ago at the investment forum,
and then I update it at end of October every year.

 Why did I write this article last time?

 This is because 3 years ago at the investment forum,
someone with username "saingkee5151" posted an thread with the title "Long term investment, 10 years strategy!!".
(the thread title is directly translated from mandarin so......... -_-)

 Anyway,
at that time I felt like post something at that thread too.
However I started investing at year 2011 and it was year 2015 that time.
People talked about 10 years, my investment experience only around half of 10years,
so I felt like I am not qualified to say anything at that thread..........

 I was curious though.

 Those shares that I bought at my early time and hold it until now,
how much returns were they?

 So I started to record:
(based on closing price of 9th November 2018, I only record those shares that I bought and still holding them until now.)
1st,
is the shares I bought at year 2014:
LPI。
Today closing price：RM16.60
Lowest price bought at that year ：RM9.37 (adjusted with bonus issue)
Return (excluding dividends )：77.2%
Dividend (according to payment date)：
2014 : 11.08sen
2015 : 30.58sen+16.67sen
2016 : 41.67sen +20.83sen
2017 : 45.83sen + 22.5sen
2018 : 37.5sen + 27sen
Total dividend ：RM2.5366
RM16.60+RM2.5366 = RM19.1366 (Total return is 104.2%)
If I used 1millions to buy in that time,
it will grows into 2.042millions now.
If leverage, easily 2millions.
If dare to maximize leverage, can reach 3millions.
Then, the shares that I bought at 2012:
AEONCR.
Today closing price：RM16.10
Lowest price bought at that year ：RM5.58  (adjusted after 2 times bonus issues )
Return (excluding dividends )：188.5%
Dividend (according to payment date)：
2012 : 9.3sen+10.7sen
2013 : 13sen + 14.9sen
2014 : 16sen+18.3sen
2015 : 19.7sen+19.9sen
2016 : 19.7sen +20.3sen
2017 : 21.7sen+21.1sen
2018 : 20sen+22.25sen
Total dividend ：RM2.4685
RM16.10+RM2.4685 = RM18.5685 (Total return is 232.8%)
If I used 1millions to buy in that time,
it will grows into 3.328millions now.
If leverage, easily 4millions.
If dare to maximize leverage, can reach 5millions.

Lastly, those shares that I bought at year 2011:
PANAMY.
Today closing price：RM38.24
Lowest price bought at that year ：RM17.50
Return (excluding dividends )：118.5%
Dividend (according to payment date)：
2012 : 11.25sen+78.75sen
2013 : 11.25sen+173sen
2014 : 11.25sen+58sen
2015 : 15sen+127sen
2016 : 15sen+124sen
2017 : 15sen+102sen
2018 : 15sen+233sen
Total dividend ：RM9.625
RM38.24+RM9.625 = RM47.865 (Total return is 173.5%)
If I used 1millions to buy in that time,
it will grows into 2.735millions now.
If leverage, easily 3millions.
If dare to maximize leverage, can reach 4millions.

PBBANK.
Today closing price：RM24.70
Lowest price bought at that year ：RM12.68
Return (excluding dividends )）：94.8%
Dividend (according to payment date)：
2011 : 20sen + 28sen
2012 : 20sen + 30sen
2013 : 22sen + 30sen
2014 : 23sen + 31sen
2015 : 24sen + 32sen
2016 : 26sen + 32sen
2017 : 27sen + 34sen
2018 : 32sen
Total dividend ：RM4.11
RM24.70+RM4.11 = RM28.81 (Total return is 127.2%)
If I used 1millions to buy in that time,
it will grows into 2.272millions now.
If leverage, easily 2millions.
If dare to maximize leverage, can reach 3millions.

NESTLE.
Today closing price：RM143.70
Lowest price bought at that year ：RM47.60
Return (excluding dividends )）：201.9%
Dividend (according to payment date)：
2011 : 55sen
2012 : 125+55sen
2013 : 155+60sen
2014 : 175+60sen
2015 : 175+65+65sen
2016 : 130+70+70sen
2017 : 130+70sen+70sen
2018 : 135+70sen
Total dividend ：RM17.35
RM143.70+RM17.35 = RM161.05(Total return is 238.3%)
If I used 1millions to buy in that time,
it will grows into 3.383millions now.
If leverage, easily 4millions.
If dare to maximize leverage, can reach 5millions.

AEON
Today closing price：RM1.76
Lowest price bought at that year ：RM1.4425
Return (excluding dividends )）：22%
Dividend (according to payment date)：
2011 : 4sen
2012 : 4.75sen
2013 : 6sen
2014 : 5.5sen
2015 : 5sen
2016 : 4sen
2017 : 3sen
2018 : 4sen
Total dividend ：RM0.3625
RM1.76+RM0.3625 = RM2.3725(Total return is 47.1%)
If I used 1millions to buy in that time,
it will grows into 1.471millions now.
If leverage, easily 2millions.
If dare to maximize leverage, can reach 3millions.

DLADY
Today closing price：RM63.96
Lowest price bought at that year ：RM18.44
Return (excluding dividends )：246.9%
Dividend (according to payment date)：
2011 : 37.5sen
2012 : 130+130sen
2013 : 130+130sen
2014 : 110+110sen
2015 : 110+110sen
2016 : 110+110sen
2017 : 110+60sen+110sen
2018 : 110sen
Total dividend ：RM16.075
RM63.96+RM16.075 = RM80.035(Total return is 334%)
If I used 1millions to buy in that time,
it will grows into 4.334millions now.
If leverage, easily 6millions.
If dare to maximize leverage, can reach 8millions.
If you are curious about the year 2017 version,
feel free to have a read:
https://thecellist-investment.blogspot.com/2017/10/year-2017the-consequence-of-long-term.html

 Everytime after finishing this,
I always feel wasted that if only I have 1 million at year 2011.....
but at that time my investment capital was not even 5 figures..........

 Of course,
this doesn't mean that long term investment is the best.

 Like the AEON that I mentioned before,
the return will be very bad.

 Anyway,
this year is already my 8th year of long term investing,
and I will still apply this same strategy.

 I will update this article next year October~

 Thanks for reading.

I don't provide any buying/selling suggestion above,
please make your own investment decision and be responsible with it.






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