Thursday 30 November 2017

List of articles until November 2017


I will make a list of articles every last day of the month,
so that is easier for me and for everyone to refer~

November 2017:
Panamy 2nd quarter 2018 financial result
Good Debt VS Bad Debt
Hartalega 2nd quarter 2018 financial report
The importance of long term sustainability
Hupseng 3rd quarter 2017 financial report
The first company that I invested in my life, AEON
F&N 4th quarter 2017 financial report
Nestle 3rd quarter 2017 financial result
How I build my confidence to invest at a company for long term
A book that influenced my life


October 2017:
4 basic types of human personality
Year 2017: The consequence of long term investment
Public Bank 3rd quarter financial result
I opened a Facebook Page & Twitter account
My opinion about oversea market
Handling investment with ease
Comparison of portfolio at the start and end of year 2011
My current investment portfolio
My self-introduction article






My Twitter : @TheCellist86

2017年11月文章目录

每个月的最后一天都会做个目录,方便自己也方便大家~

2017年11月:
Panamy 2018年第2季度财政报告
好债务VS坏债务
Hartalega 2018年第2季度财政报告
长期可持续性的重要
Hupseng 2017年第3季度财政报告
人生中第一次投资的股票AEON
F&N 2017年第4季度财政报告
Nestle 2017年第3季度财政报告
我是如何建立信心以长期持有一家公司
影响我人生的一本书


2017年10月:
人类4大性格特质
2017年篇:长期投资的后果
大众银行2017年第三季度财政报告
开设了脸书和推特
对于海外市场的看法
轻松应付投资
2011年头与年尾的投资组合比较
我目前的股市投资组合
我的第一篇自我介绍文


我的脸书专页
我的推特:@TheCellist86

PANAMY 2nd Quarter 2018 Financial Result


PANAMY released the 2nd quarter financial report few days ago,
I quickly took a look at it as soon as it released,
and I was disappointed at the revenue.... 

Frankly speaking,

the result is truly disappointing,
especially after PANAMY delivered a very strong quarter result previously........

Let's have a look at the Segmental Reporting:
The profit of the Home Appliance products recovered.
So the drop of the revenue is mainly because of decrease in sales of fan products.....
Especially in Malaysia market:


Well,
at least the revenue from Middle East bounced back.

The management team also mentioned that drop of sales of fans products is because of decline in demand in domestic market......



But they did said that the condition improved in 3rd quarter with increased marketing & promotional activities.



No matter how,
looks like PANAMY still doing fine for export market~

Although the financial result is not satisfying,
but at least dividend had been declared:


Only 15 sen though..........
Well I already gotten used to it after holding PANAMY shares for so many years.

As a conclusion,
the drop of revenue are caused by decline in demand of fans products in Malaysia and rising cost.

The question now is........
can the sales of fans products bounce back at next quarter?
Will the high cost become a new "normal" for PANAMY?

Investment is about doing own thinking, making own decision.

Thanks for reading.




I don't provide any buying/selling suggestion above,
please make your own investment decision and be responsible with it.



PANAMY 2018年第2季度财政报告


话说前几天PANAMY的财政报告出炉后,
我立刻打开来看,
结果看到营业额就心里一沉:

实话实说,
是个让我非常失望的业绩,
特别是第一季业绩特别好之后所带来的反差............

看看Segmental Reporting:
Home Appliance那里盈利已经恢复正常,
所以这次营业额的下跌,
全都因为Fan products卖少了.......
主要是马来西亚市场的风扇卖少了:
值得庆幸的是,
中东方面的业绩反弹吧~

管理层也有解释说风扇卖少的原因是因为本地市场需求降低:



但也有补充说已经加强促销,所以状况有所改进。



看来出口市场都做得不错~


虽然业绩不满意,但至少有宣布派息:
虽然只有15sen...........
但对于持有PANAMY多年的我来说已经习惯了。

总之这次的业绩下跌主要归咎于
本地市场风扇需求下降以及原料成本高涨,双重打击!!

究竟接下来PANAMY能不能够卖出更多的风扇呢?
高企的原料成本会是新常态吗?

投资就是自己思考,自己做决定。

感谢阅读。



以上言论没有任何买卖建议,
大家买卖自负。


最近文章:
好债务VS坏债务
Hartalega 2018年第2季度财政报告
长期可持续性的重要
HUPSENG 2017年第3季度财政报告
人生中第一次投资的公司AEON


其他链接:

2017年10月文章目录
我目前的股市投资组合
我的第一篇自我介绍文
我的脸书专页
我的推特:@TheCellist86

Monday 27 November 2017

Good Debt VS Bad Debt


Let me clarify something first,
I am not an accountant,
so this article is just my personal opinion,
it doesn't mean that everyone need to agree with me.


D
E
B
T

DEBT.

How are you feeling whenever you heard the word "DEBT"?

Scare? Hate? Feeling bad until want to vomit?

Actually a lot of people dislike DEBT,
because they will headache when thinking about repaying the installment of the DEBT,
so they decided to stay as far away as they can.

However,
most of the things in our lives are related with DEBT.
We need housing loan to buy a house,
we need car loan to buy a car,
we need education loan so that we can graduate from university or college,
even the credit card that we always bringing with us,
is also a DEBT.

Many people hate DEBT,
so they trying to stay away from it even a small credit card,
this caused them to have a blank record of credit rating.
It will be hard for the bank to approve their housing loan or car loan,
because the bank can't find out about their credit rating,
in turns it become hard for them to buy the house or car they like.

In order to have a better credit rating so that the bank will be easier to approve our loan applications,
is better to have some DEBT and make sure you clear the installment every month.

So instead of avoiding DEBT,
why can't we try to see the other side of the coin,
change our mind and accept DEBT?

Of course,
I do not suggest simply borrowing money.
This is because there are two types of DEBT,
GOOD DEBT and BAD DEBT.

GOOD DEBT,
are the DEBT that can help us to achieve our financial goals faster.

For example,
we borrow money from the bank to buy house for investment.
After using the rental to repay the installment and there is still some money left,
which means POSITIVE CASHFLOW,
then this housing loan is actually a GOOD DEBT.

One more example.
A company need a large capital for expansion,
but the company does not has enough cash,
so borrow some money from the bank.
After the expansion is done,
the company earned a lot of money,
more than enough to repay the DEBT,
then it is a GOOD DEBT too.

At the other way round,
BAD DEBT will not only stop us from achieving our financial goals,
causing financial lagging,
and even worse.... bankrupt.

Let me give an example that everyone knows,
borrow money to buy a car.

The value of the car will drops as soon as you started driving it.
Borrowing money to buy something that the value keep dropping is an example of BAD DEBT.

Please be clear that I didn't say everyone shouldn't buy a car.
Just.....
we need to know that car loan is a BAD DEBT,
so is better to review our income and expenses,
before actually buying a car.
Especially nowadays many youngsters declared bankruptcy because unable to pay back the car loan.

After learning more about GOOD DEBT and BAD DEBT,
then is time to start thinking....
how to use GOOD DEBT to help us achieve our financial goals.

This topic is actually a very common topic that everyone knows,
but the question is.....
how many of us are actually using GOOD DEBT to do what we know??

The actual reason why I purposely write a DEBT related article,
is because of my future articles.

Thanks for reading.



I don't provide any buying/selling suggestion above,
please make your own investment decision and be responsible with it.


好债务VS坏债务

事先申明,我不是会计学家,
这篇文章只是我个人的想法,
你可以不接受。


说到“债务”这两个字,
大家第一时间会有什么感觉呢?

害怕?抗拒?反感想吐?

很多人其实都不喜欢债务,
因为一想到要还钱就头痛,
最好就是敬而远之。

但我们生活上一切都跟债务有关,
买房子要靠房贷,
买车子要靠车贷,
大学能够毕业都是靠教育贷款,
连随身带着的信用卡其实也是债务的一种。

很多人因为抗拒债务,远离信用卡,
造成信用空白。
银行不知道顾客的信用程度,就很难批准房贷或车贷,
结果买不到属意的房子或车子。

拥有债务,持续还款,
表现出自己的信用程度,
就能让银行更好地评估我们的信用。

所以比起抗拒债务,
是不是可以看看硬币的另一面,
换个想法,拥抱债务呢?

当然,
我并不是说要随便借钱。
首先要清楚债务其实有好有坏。
这世上有好的债务,
也存在着坏的债务。

好的债务,
能够帮助我们更快地达成财务目标。

举例来说,
跟银行借钱买屋子投资,
收租金后还了利息还有钱赚,
那么这个房贷就是好的债务。

或者企业扩张需要一大笔资金,
碍于现金不够,只好跟银行借钱。
生意扩张后,赚了一大笔钱,还债了也还有剩,
这也是好的债务。

相对来说,
坏的债务不只无法让我们达成财务目标,
甚至会财务退步,破产。

举个大家都懂的例子,
借钱买车子,车子一驾出车厂就马上贬值,
借钱买贬值的东西就是坏债务的例子之一。

当然,
我不是说要大家不要买车子。
而是在背负车贷之前,
需要清楚知道这是一笔坏债务,
重新审视自己的收入支出和资产状况,
想好好来才决定要不要买车子。
毕竟很多人破产都是因为还不起车贷......

清楚明白何谓好债务和坏债务,
就可以开始想想,
要如何利用好债务来更快达成自己的财务目标。

很多人觉得这些都是老生常谈的话题,
但问题是,
知道之后,有没有真的利用好债务来实践呢?

当然,
我会特地写关于债务的文章,其实是为了未来的文章铺路。

感谢阅读。



以上言论没有任何买卖建议,
大家买卖自负。


最近文章:

Hartalega 2018年第2季度财政报告
长期可持续性的重要
HUPSENG 2017年第3季度财政报告
人生中第一次投资的公司AEON
F&N 2017年第4季度财政报告


其他链接:

2017年10月文章目录
我目前的股市投资组合
我的第一篇自我介绍文
我的脸书专页
我的推特:@TheCellist86





Friday 24 November 2017

Hartalega 2nd Quarter 2018 Financial Report


Today I would like to talk about Hartalega.

Recently the share price of Hartalega skyrocketed,
and I felt so jealous,
because I do not own any Hartalega shares

So why the share price of Hartalega can ignores the gravity and keep rising?

Let us see their latest financial report:


I invested for so long,
this is the first time I saw a company that has such an amazing growth O_o




Revenue grew 33.8% but the profit before tax increased by 63.9% !!

Increase in sales volume + improvement in productivity,
no wonder the growth of profit is so wonderful!

Plant 1, 2, 3 of NGC are fully operating,
and Plant 4 started to operate,
the growth is just scary~

Future prospects:

Plant 4 of NGC is in progressive commissioning,
construction of Plant 5 is started,
all these means that the demand will keep rising in the future~

With the announcement of new innovation product, 
the future is so bright and wonderful for Hartalega.

But here comes the question,
the share price already rose to RM9.35.
I didn't buy it last time when it was at RM5-RM6,
am I going to buy it now when it is above RM9 ??

Investment is about doing own thinking, making own decision.

Thanks for reading.



I don't provide any buying/selling suggestion above,
please make your own investment decision and be responsible with it.








Hartalega 2018年第2季度财政报告


今天就来谈谈Hartalega好了。

最近Hartalega的股价就像坐了火箭一样往上飞升,
我没有Hartalega,
只能不停地暗捶...... ㅠ_ㅠ

那么为什么Hartalega的股价能够无视地心引力,
一直攀升呢?

看看最新的业绩:


我投资了这么多年,
还是第一次看到成长如此可怕的公司 O_o




营业额成长33.8%,
盈利却足足成长63.9%。

手套越卖越多,生产效率也越来越进步,
双管齐下,
难怪盈利成长惊人!

随着NGC plant 1, 2, 3投入全面运作,
plant 4 则逐渐投入运作,
业绩的增长真是太恐怖了。

未来的展望:

NGC的plant 4生产线将会持续投入运作,
plant 5也开始建造,
这说明了未来需求将会持续攀升。

再加上最近还宣布推出新类型的手套。

未来真是一片光明美好啊!

可是问题来了,
股价最近急速上升至RM9.35,
我以前RM5-RM6时不买,
难道现在RM9以上才买吗?

投资就是自己思考,自己做决定。

感谢阅读。

以上言论没有任何买卖建议,
大家买卖自负。


最近文章:

长期可持续性的重要
HUPSENG 2017年第3季度财政报告
人生中第一次投资的公司AEON
F&N 2017年第4季度财政报告
NESTLE 2017年第3季度财政报告


其他链接:

2017年10月文章目录
我目前的股市投资组合
我的第一篇自我介绍文
我的脸书专页
我的推特:@TheCellist86







Wednesday 22 November 2017

The Importance Of Long Term Sustainability


I believe we all heard about all these things before:

Someone earned a large sum of money from share investment in a very short period of time,
and then lost it at the share market,
after that earned a lot again,
but at the end still lost it in share investment.
Like riding a roller coaster, sometimes earn, sometimes lose money.

Or,
someone successfully reduced a lot of weights in a very short period of time,
but the weight bounced back again in a blink of eyes.

Or,
someone went to gym almost everyday to workout,
successfully gained a lot of muscles and 6 packs of abs.
But very fast, the abs all gathered again to become 1 instead of 6,
all the muscles also became loosen....

Of course,
there were a lot reasons to cause someone lost something in a short period of time.

But I think one of the reason,
is because those people ignored the importance of long term sustainability,,
they used those methods that can't sustain for a long period of time.

Some people hoped to reduce weights fast,
so they went for drastic diet,
yes they successfully became thinner in a short period of time,
but they can't continue the drastic diet,
so their weights quickly bounced back,
some even destroyed their bodies because of drastic diet.

Same goes for people who wanted to build muscle and 6 packs of abs,
everyday ate the same chicken breast and vegetable, zero oil.
Yes they can do it in a short period of time,
but can you continue doing it for the rest of your life?

Of course,
I am not opposing diet or weight training.
I also doing weight training,
but I am not aiming for short term,
I am not rushing to join fitness contest anyway,
what I want is to be able to exercise until the day I die,
so I didn't over limiting my diet,
and always beware of my workout postures to prevent injuries,
I am aiming for long term.

What I want to say is.......
there are many methods in the world,
but are you sure that the method you are using right now can be sustained for long term?

Same goes for investment,
that's why I chose long term investment.
This is because long term investment has higher confirmability for huge profits.

Just take a look at those companies that I am investing now:
NESTLE, AEONCR, PBBANK, LPI, F&N and some more,
all these companies are either producing products or services that consumers needed for long term.

This is my investment method,
long term investing at companies that are able to survive for long term and the profits are long term sustainable.

That's why I never go for companies that suddenly profit grew just because a land is sold or other short term reasons.
All these profits are not long term sustainable.

Of course,
I am not opposed to short term investment.
I think there are short term investment methods that can profit for long term instead of sometimes earn money but sometimes lose money.
Just look for investment methods that the profits are long term sustainable.

Since,
 investment is a marathon race and we will be investing for the rest of our lives.

Thanks for reading.


I don't provide any buying/selling suggestion above,
please make your own investment decision and be responsible with it.








长期可持续性的重要


相信我们都有看过以下的例子吧?

某人在股市中短期内赚了一大笔钱,然后赔回去。
之后又赚了一大笔,结果又还给股市了。
一时赚,一时亏。

或者某人在短期内成功减肥,
但之后又很快肥回去。

或者某人努力健身,练就一身肌肉和6块腹肌,
但很快地,腹肌就团结在一起,
一身肌肉也变得松松垮垮的。

当然,
理由可以有很多种,
但我觉得其中一个理由,
是因为以上的人都采用了无法长期持续下去的方法,
忽视了长期可持续的重要。

有些人为了快速减肥,
采用了极端的饮食法,
短期内瘦了下来,
却无法持续地进行极端饮食法,
结果很快地体重反弹,甚至伤害了身体。

同样地,
为了6块腹肌和健肌,
每天吃鸡胸肉和青菜而已,滴油不沾。
短期内可以做到,但剩下的人生都可以如此做下去吗?

当然,我不是反对减肥或健身。
我也有在健身,
但我运动健身不是为了短期,又不是赶着去参加什么健美大赛,
而是是想持续健康到我老了死去的那一天,
所以我并没有太过限制饮食,
也很注意健身姿势避免受伤。

我想说的是,
方法有很多种,
你确定你所采用的方法是长期可以持续下去的吗?

回到投资上,
这也是为什么我选择长期投资。
因为长期投资可以持续获利的确定性比较大。

而且看看我所选择投资的公司:
NESTLE, AEONCR,PBBANK, LPI, F&N等等,
都是在制造人类持续需要的产品或提供一直需要的服务。

这就是我所采用的方法,
长期投资在可以长期持续盈利及生存的公司。

所以我不会去追求那些因为卖了土地等,而突然短期盈利暴涨的公司,
因为这些盈利并不能持续下去。

当然,
我也不是反对短期投资、投机。
我觉得长期可以持续获利的短期投资投机方法是存在的,
所以比起一时赚,一时亏,
找到长期可持续的方法会更好的。

毕竟,投资是一生的。


感谢阅读。


以上言论没有任何买卖建议,
大家买卖自负。


最近文章:
HUPSENG 2017年第3季度财政报告
人生中第一次投资的公司AEON
F&N 2017年第4季度财政报告
NESTLE 2017年第3季度财政报告
我如何建立信心以长期持有一家公司


其他链接:
2017年10月文章目录
我目前的股市投资组合
我的第一篇自我介绍文
我的脸书专页
我的推特:@TheCellist86





Saturday 18 November 2017

HUPSENG 3rd Quarter Financial Report 2017


The 3rd quarter financial report of HUPSENG just released few days ago.
There was some growth on the revenue,
but same like NESTLE,
the rising cost of sales eroded the profit:


Also, the selling and marketing expenses also increased,
all these had caused the profit after tax to be slightly lower than last year quarter 3....


The thing is if the selling & marketing expenses didn't increase,
will revenue of HUPSENG grows that much?

Details of revenue growth:

I was surprised to see that domestic sales has a strong growth of 16%!!

However the export sales which I expected the most..... was reduced,
especially Myanmar there........


Always the same contents....

Surprisingly:

There will be a dividend of 2 sen for this quarter!
Even though the entitlement date is not announced yet,
but still feel good to be able to receive dividend~

Hopefully the export market can be recovered soon,
and successfully penetrating into China market~

Thanks for reading.


I don't provide any buying/selling suggestion above,
please make your own investment decision and be responsible with it.


HUPSENG 2017年第3季度财政报告


HUPSENG前几天出了第3季度的财政报告,
营业额方面有不错的成长,
但跟NESTLE一样,
成本高涨吃掉了大部分的盈利:

加上在Selling & marketing expenses那里花多了点,
最终导致盈利比去年同一季度还低.......

可是如果节省Selling & marketing expenses,
又哪会有如此的营业额成长呢....

营业额成长的细节:

看到这里我还蛮惊讶的,
本地销量居然成长了这么多!

反而是我期待的出口销量,
居然下跌严重,
特别是Myanmar.........


以上都是老生常谈的话..........

不过惊喜的是:

这一季居然有2分股息可以拿!
虽然日期还未决定,
不过有股息收也不错了。

希望接下来出口销量能够恢复,
中国业务拓展顺利~

感谢阅读。


以上言论没有任何买卖建议,
大家买卖自负。


最近文章:
人生中第一次投资的公司AEON
F&N 2017年第4季度财政报告
NESTLE 2017年第3季度财政报告
我如何建立信心以长期持有一家公司
影响我人生的一本书



其他链接:
2017年10月文章目录
我目前的股市投资组合
我的第一篇自我介绍文
我的脸书专页
我的推特:@TheCellist86


Wednesday 15 November 2017

The first company that I invested in my life, AEON


This article was written at 31st July 2011.

I transferred it from the investment forum to here,
translated it into english,
and added some latest opinion about AEON.


Old article:


December 2010.

There was holiday for one month of my university,
many people chose to work part time during holiday,
but I chose the road less traveled,
and studied about subjects that we were going to learn for final semester after holiday ended.

I decided to be well prepared because I heard that those subjects for final semester will be super hard.


As a result, 

I spent the most relaxing semester in my university life,
my classmates always came to me when they didn't understand something,
and I achieved the best semester result in my university life....

Oooops, sorry for out of topic....

Anyway, 

while I was preparing for final semester during the one month holiday,
I also started to learn about share investment.

Basically everyday....

I went to search information about share investment from books and internet.
I read Cold Eye's articles, 
also from the investment forum I read articles by:
8k, Nifong, Hutu, Erge, Thermofisher, 8years, tan81, Nightkid, tyche6.

Then I decided to start with fundamental analysis.


So now the question is..... 

which company should I begin with?

I asked myself:

"If I can open a shop, what kind of business I would like to do?"

My answer was:

"I want to open a shopping mall, inside it can be any shops that I like."

So my choices are.....

AEON and PARKSON.

Personally I prefer AEON more since I always went there,

so my pick was AEON.
Of course later I also studied about Parkson.

At 1st,

I went to Bursa website to download their latest annual report and read.

How I read?

Well.... just read only.
From the 1st page until the last page.

Anything I don't know, I googled.
I am determined to finish reading this annual report.

After reading it,

I realized that AEON has good fundamental, 
revenue and profit were good,
new shopping centers were lining up to open,
still a lot of potentials.

Erm, GOOD.


Buy?
Wait...... let me read other annual reports first.

So I downloaded AEON annual report for year 1999 from Bursa website.


Oh no!

AEON lost money at year 1998!

Then I calmed down and thought.....

financial crisis landed at Malaysia at year 1998,
so is forgivable to lose money,
and AEON still distributed dividend to shareholders that particular year.
Some more the next year 1999 AEON earned a lot of profits,
more than to cover the lost at year 1998.

Okay good,
so I decided to continue studying about AEON.

Later my university holiday ended and I went back to schol,
at the same time I spent two whole weeks to finish reading AEON annual reports from year 1999 until year 2009.
I also went through quarter financial reports for the pass five years which equivalent to 20 reports,
and recorded down important numbers on excel.

In this process,
I learnt how to read the important points only from annual report,
thus increased my reading speed.

At the same time,
I opened a CDS account,
and bought AEON shares near the end of January.

I only spent around 30% of my investment capital and I bought at RM6.33.
 (after bonus issue is RM1.5825.)

What happened later?
The share price dropped.......

It dropped until RM6.10,
then something bad happened!

Japan earthquake plus the danger of nuclear leaking,
so Malaysia share market was bearish,
AEON dropped until RM5.77,
I lost around 10%.....

After a few days,
I went to the nearest AEON shopping mall and walked around.
It was friday afternoon,
AEON business was good, a lot of customers,
so I was filled with confidence,
went home and bought more AEON shares.

Even today(31st July 2011) I still holding those AEON shares,
thanks to AEON,
I received more than one hundred passive income this month.


The end of old article.



Those AEON shares,

I hold it until year 2014, 
the share price rose to almost RM16.

Then bonus issues and split,

AEON shares from one share RM16 became 4 shares RM4.
(I can't remember the exact price, but should be around that price....)

As a result,

my cost of AEON shares became one share RM1.50 only.

Someone I know who also acted as my "contrarian indicator" in share market,
"realized" that AEON is so "cheap" at RM4,
so he bought some AEON shares,
and dreamed that AEON will "rose back" to RM16 again in a short time LOL.

I was alerted,
so I decided to sell 16% of my total AEON shares at the price RM3.96.

At December year 2014,
I saw AEON share price dropped until RM2.79.
So I bought some thinking that it will not drops any further.

But AEON profit kept on dropping,
So at October 2015 and January 2016,
I almost sold all my AEON shares at around RM2.70,
left a little bit for souvenir~

The cost money that I invested at AEON was around RM5000,
I earned RM4300,
5 years.

If only I sold all at RM3.96 last time,
I can earn another RM4000 more..............
but yeah is too late to regret now.....
I didn't expect that GST will creates such a scary impact at AEON........

Well,
I earned less RM4000, not RM40000~
So no need to be very sad though~

Thanks for reading.