Monday, 14 May 2018

大选之后的第一个股票交易日


马来西亚大选在5月9日投票,
而股市则一直到5月14日才重新开市。

毕竟是换了政府后的第一个股票交易日,
值得纪念的一天,
所以在此稍微记录一下。

大选前,
我的投资回酬是ROA=5.15%,ROE=6.18%。

今天闭市后,
我的投资回酬是ROA=9.96%,ROE=11.95%,
回酬几乎翻倍。

主要归功于:
AEON上涨了41sen,
AEONCR上涨了42sen,
HUPSENG上涨了10sen,
LPI上涨了38sen,
NESTLE上涨了RM5.80,
PANAMY上涨了RM1.10。

然后我也把一部分上次在RM2.02买进的AEON以RM2.38的价钱卖出,
结果闭市的价格是RM2.45.......................

至于接下来股市会如何发展呢?

对我来说一切仍然都是未知,
但不管怎样,
我都会一直把超过100%的身家投资在股市里。

还有,
虽然一直以来都已经知道,
但今天更加令我确信,
绝对不能碰官联股。

而且,
马股好公司那么多,
何必冒风险去碰官联股呢?

不过...........
既然换了政府,
可能未来的官联股会是好的投资也说不定?

投资就是自己思考,自己做决定。

感谢阅读。








The 1st shares trading day after G.E.


The voting day for Malayisa General Election was held at 9th May,
and Malaysia shares market only resumed the trading day at 14th May.

Since today was the 1st trading day after changing the government,
so I will write something down here for this remarkable day.

Before the voting day,
my investment return was ROA=5.15%, ROE=6.18%.

After trading hour ended today,
my investment return is ROA=9.96%, ROE=11.95%,
almost doubled.

My return for today were mainly contributed by:
AEON (+41sen)
AEONCR (+42sen)
HUPSENG (+10sen)
LPI (+38sen)
NESTLE (+RM5.80)
PANAMY (+RM1.10)

I also sold some portion of AEON shares that I bought at RM2.02,
sold at RM2.38,
and now RM2.45.........................

As for what will happen to the shares market at the future?

For me,
whatever at the future is always "UNKNOWN".
However,
I will continue to put more than 100% of my capital in the shares market.

Oh yeah,
even though I already knew this since long time ago,
but after today I am confirmed that.............
NEVER TOUCH GLC COMPANIES.

There are so many good companies in Malaysia shares market,
so why should we put ourselves at risk to invest at Government-Linked Companies?

But.................
who knows,
maybe GLC companies will be a good investment at the future after changing government?

Investment is about doing own thinking, making own decision.

Thanks for reading.




I don't provide any buying/selling suggestion above,
please make your own investment decision and be responsible with it.


Wednesday, 9 May 2018

HUPSENG 2017年度财政报告


今天来看看HUPSENG年报。

首先看一看一些基本的资讯:
其实HUPSENG的营业额还是挺不错的,
几乎年年都有进步。

只可惜..............

盈利就...................

过去5年的派息:

可以看到过去3年的股息派得超多的,
所以PE才会那么高。

海内外营业额的比例:


目前本地是70.9%,海外是29.1%。

然后年报里这一句话挺让人在意的:


More aggressive promotion planning.....
看来今年的广告宣传开销可能会比2017年提升很多吧........
希望不会影响到股息的派发。

Production方面:



工厂产能的使用率是82%。
当中Cracker series的生产线是100%使用率,
原订计划是增加多一条生产线,
但次计划却延迟到2020年了。

然后也换了两条baking lines,
以及使用auto stacking systems。

可见得现在每家公司都在追求自动化了,
我们也是时候想一想,
自己现在所做的事情有一天会不会被机器所取代?
未来会不会有一天机器人也写投资部落格?

新产品:

Premium Chocolate Cookies??
我饶了绕附近的霸级市场,没看到啊........-_-)

出口方面:


前5名贡献了超过一半海外营业额的国家是:
Thailand, Saudi Arabia, Indonesia, Singapore和Myanmar。

而且好消息好像挺多的:


首先海外市场的营业额进步了8%,
当中Saudi Arabia的时常更是取得了41%的增长。
然后上面的前5名国家之后,
第6名就是中国,
2016年还是第10名,如今却攀上第6名。

很好,
这就是我想要的,
不只本地市场做得好,
也会积极开发海外市场。

年报就到这里结束。

公司积极扩展海外市场是好事,
但海外市场可不像马来西亚,
一定有很多强势的对手。

就拿Indonesia的Garuda公司来说好了,
Gery Crackers还挺好吃的。

究竟HUPSENG扩展海外市场能不能一直顺利下去呢?

投资就是自己思考,自己做决定。

感谢阅读。









HUPSENG Annual Report 2017


Today let's have a look at the annual report of HUPSENG.

First,
some basic financial informations:

Actually the revenue of HUPSENG is quite good,
almost have improvement every year.

However..........


The profit..............

The dividends for past 5 years:


Since year 2015,
HUPSENG distributed most the profit as dividend,
that's why the company is able to maintain the high PE.

The ratio of domestic and export market:


Currently,
domestic market was 70.9% while export was 29.1%.

Then,
this sentence quite caught my attention:


More aggressive promotion planning.....
Seems like the marketing expense will be more higher than year 2017..........
Hopefully it won't affect the future dividend distribution.

For production:
:


The capacity utilization was averagely 82%.
The production lines for cracker series was at full capacity,
and an additional Cracker line is planned to replace the existing old line,
but the plan will be delayed to year 2020.

Also, the company will replace two baking lines,
and start using auto stacking system.

Now every company also go for automation,
is time for us to think.....
the works that we are doing now, will it be replaced by AI one day?
Will there be a day when...... everyone will be reading investment blog written by AI??

New product:


Premium Chocolate Cookies??
I did look around in a shopping mall nearby, but couldn't find it though.........-_-)

For export:



The top five countries which constitutes about 57% of total export revenue:
Thailand, Saudi Arabia, Indonesia, Singapore, Myanmar.

Seems like a lot of good news for export segment:



First,
the sales revenue for export increased by 8%,
and Saudi Arabia hit 41% growth.
Also,
China jumped to 6th largest market form 10th in 2016~

GOOD,
that's what I have been looking for.......
A company that not only doing well in domestic market,
but also keep expending to oversea market.

That's all for the annual report.

It is good for the company to expand to oversea,
but the oversea market will not be the same as Malaysia market,
a lot of strong players will be there.

For example the Garuda company from Indonesia,
the Gery Crackers is quite delicious

Will HUPSENG be able to withstand all these strong opponents and keep on growing the export segment?

Investment is about doing own thinking, making own decision.

Thanks for reading.



I don't provide any buying/selling suggestion above,
please make your own investment decision and be responsible with it.

Friday, 4 May 2018

一个大家都忽略了的买股成本


事先申明:

这篇文章只是纯粹想翻转硬币,探讨一些平时都认为是理所当然的事,文章充满个人的想法,要是你读到本文的一半就反感到想吐,你随时可以关掉不看,我并没有持枪指着你的脑袋硬逼你看完。


看到这个标题,

如果你们都认为我所指的买股成本是Brokerage fees的话.........

那么只能说你们还不了解我,
我怎么可能会浪费时间去写这种老生常谈的题材呢?
如果要写关于交易费用的话,
我反而会跑去写交易费用越高越好,这种翻转硬币的话题~

Anyway,
进入正题好了。

如果要买1 lot的NESTLE,
那么其实成本是多少呢?

现在NESTLE的价钱是RM135左右,
1 lot = 100股,
所以100 x RM135 = RM13500。

然后加上brokerage fees等等,
给个整数,就RM14000好了。

那么是否赚个RM14000,
就可以买1 lot的NESTLE了呢?

非也非也,
你可能要赚个RM17000-RM18000才能买到1 lot的NESTLE!
因为有个买股成本是大家都忽略了的...........

在揭晓其实是什么之前,
我先说一下这篇文章的灵感来源好了。

话说最近我在书局里看到《富爸爸,穷爸爸》的作者Robert Kiyosaki又出了一本新书,
书名是《Why the rich are getting richer》,
我当然第一时间就开始阅读。

我最新读到的部分,
就是作者在书里提到为了买房产,头期钱是$100,000的话,
那么其实你需要赚个$120,000到$130,000才行!

为什么呢?
理由就是税金!

你需要赚个$120,000到$130,000,缴交所得税和其他税金后,
才能有$100,000的头期钱。

同样道理,
要买1 lot的NESTLE,
你需要赚个RM17000到RM18000,
缴交所得税等等,
才会有RM14000来买1 lot的NESTLE。

好了,
答案揭晓了,
不知道大家对这个答案有什么感觉?

可能有人会觉得无聊,
可能有人会觉得恍然大悟。

我本身是脑洞大开的,
因为我注意到我的买股成本其实比大部分投资者低很多。

为什么这么说呢?
因为我用来买股的资金是不用缴交所得税的。
注意!我并不是逃税!
而是,
我用来买股的资金来源是被鼓励的,所以不用缴交任何税金。

就像要买1 lot的NESTLE,
我不需要辛辛苦苦去赚个RM17000-RM18000,
然后缴交一大笔所得税,才用剩下的RM14000买NESTLE。

我只需要利用SMF户口,就能直接用RM14000买1 lot的NESTLE,
不用多,
就只是RM14000而已,
因为政府不会要我缴交这笔钱的税金。

所以同样是1 lot的NESTLE,
我的成本就只是RM14000,
而用现金买的人其实成本是RM17000-RM18000。

这就是用现金和用债务投资的不同之处。

当然,
我这么写并不是完全反对用自己赚的钱投资,
也不是鼓励大家用债务去投资。

就像Robert Kiyosaki在书里所提到的,
他的目的,只是想帮助大家提升自己的财务知识。

其中一项,
就是去明白税赋的不同,而不是一意孤行地去讨厌税赋。

想一想,
为什么赚钱需要缴税?
为什么借钱不需要缴税?

投资就是自己思考,自己做决定。

感谢阅读。








The cost of investment is much higher than what we thought


Clarification:


I am just trying to flip the coin, to discuss about something what we usually ignored it. This article is full with my personal opinion, so feel free to close this article whenever you feel sicked and wanted to vomit, please bear in mind that I am not pointing you with a gun to force you to finish reading it.



By just looking at the topic,

if you are assuming that I will be talking about brokerage fees.....................
Then you don't understand me~

How would I waste the precious time for some old topics like brokerage fees?

And if I really want to write about brokerage fees,
I might flip the coin and mention the benefits of higher brokerage fees~

Anyway,

let's get back to today's topic.

If want to buy 1 lot of NESTLE,

how much is the actual money that we need to earn?

Now the shares price of NESTLE is around RM135,

1 lot = 100 shares,
so 100 x RM135 = RM13500.

Plus other fees like brokerage fees,

round it up,
should be around RM14000.

So is it that if we earn RM14000,

then we are able to buy 1 lot of NESTLE?

No no no,

we need to earn at least RM17000 to RM18000 so that you can buy 1 lot of NESTLE!
This is because there is another cost that everyone ignored..........

Before revealing what is it,
let me announce where did I get the idea for this article~

Recently I went to bookshop and found that Robert Kiyosaki,
the author of <<Rich dad, Poor dad>> has released a new book,
the title is <<Why the rich are getting richer>>,
of course I started to read it.

The most recent part I read,
the author mentioned that if the down payment for a property is $100,000,
then we need to earn at least $120,000 to $130,000 !

WHY?

Because of T....A......X.........
TAX!

We need to earn $120,000 to $130,000 ,
after submitting the taxes like income tax,
then only left with $100,000 to buy the property.

So same concept,
to buy 1 lot of NESTLE,
we need to earn RM17000 to RM18000,
submitted income tax and other taxes,
then only left with RM14000 to buy 1 lot of NESTLE.

Alright,
the answer is revealed,
how did you feel about it?

Some people might think that it is useless, rubbish and boring,
but some might realized something.

I was actually quite fascinated,
because I realized that my cost of investment is much lower than many investors.

Why did I say like that?
This is because the money I used to buy shares do not need to submit for income tax.
ATTENTION!! I DID SUBMIT INCOME TAX!!
Just that........
the money I used to invest is encouraged, so no tax on it.

For examples like buying 1 lot of NESTLE,
I don't need to work hard to earn RM17000-RM18000,
after submitted for income tax,
only can use the remaining RM14000 to buy NESTLE.

What I needed to do........
is just use the RM14000 from my SMF account to buy NESTLE~
No need any extra money,
just RM14000 is enough already,
since the government will not ask me to pay any tax for that RM15000.

Same 1 lot of NESTLE,
my cost is exactly RM14000,
but for some other people the cost is as high as RM17000-RM18000.

This is the difference of using cash to invest or using debt to invest.

Of course,
I am not totally against everyone to use cash to invest,
I am not encouraging everyone to just simply use debt to invest.

As like what Robert Kiyosaki mentioned in his book,
he wished to help everyone to gain more financial knowledge,
to understand the TAX and not just hating the TAX.

And think..........
Why need to pay tax if we earn money?
Why no need to pay tax if we borrow money?

Investment is about doing own thinking, making own decision.

Thanks for reading.




I don't provide any buying/selling suggestion above,
please make your own investment decision and be responsible with it.